2010 Pac-10 Conference Tournament Preview
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nine team will converge on the Staples
Center in Los Angeles to compete for the Pac-10 Conference Tournament
championship beginning on Wednesday, March 10th.
The only member of the league that isn't competing for an automatic berth to
the NCAA Tournament is USC, which is ineligible for this event because of
self-imposed sanctions. Last season, the Trojans won the Pac-10 Tournament
title, so it is certainly disappointing for fans of that program that USC
won't have a chance defend the title. California enters as the top seed, but
in a conference with greater parity than almost any other in the nation, it is
hard to consider the Golden Bears a runaway favorite. They figure to be pushed
by second-seeded Arizona State and third-seeded Washington. Fourth-seeded
Arizona and fifth-seeded UCLA are both young teams, but there is enough talent
in place to score an upset. Sixth-seeded Oregon State is one of four teams
still in search of a Pac-10 Tournament title, and the team is slowly getting
better. Seventh-seeded Stanford was a disappointment over the last couple of
months, and the Cardinal need to get on track in a hurry. As for eighth-seeded
Oregon and ninth-seeded Washington State, neither are considered a legitimate
threat to capture the crown.
The Oregon Ducks and Washington State Cougars will meet on Wednesday in the
tournament's only opening-round affair, and the winner will earn the right to
fact top-seeded California in the quarterfinals. WSU has never won this
tournament and owns an unimpressive 5-10 record all-time in the event. The
Ducks have two Pac-10 tourney titles to their credit, the most recent of which
was earned in 2007. The player to watch for Washington State is sophomore Klay
Thompson, as he ranks third in the conference in scoring with 19.6 ppg. Reggie
Moore adds 12.6 ppg, and he is just a freshman. Tajuan Porter is the leading
scorer for Oregon, but it is highly unlikely that his 11.9 ppg and erratic
shooting will scare the Cougars. Malcolm Armstead leads the Ducks and ranks
third in the league with 4.43 apg. On Saturday, March 6th, Oregon beat
Washington State by a 74-66 final to close out the regular season.
The first of four quarterfinal-round matchups pits the fourth-seeded Arizona Wildcats against the fifth-seeded UCLA Bruins, and these two teams rank first
and second, respectively, in regard to Pac-10 Tournament championships.
Arizona has captured the crown four times, most recently in 2002, and the club
is 17-8 all-time in this event. As for UCLA, it has three titles to its
credit, including two in the last four years. Arizona is last in the
conference in scoring defense (71.9 ppg), but the club is third in scoring
offense (72.0 ppg). Freshman Derrick Williams leads the Wildcats with 15.7 ppg
and 7.0 rpg, while Nic Wise, a senior, provides 14.4 ppg and 3.4 apg. UCLA is
also led by a freshman, as Michael Roll is scoring 13.5 ppg on the strength of
his 42 percent shooting from three-point range. The Bruins rank last in the
10-team league in scoring margin, last in free-throw percentage and last in
three-point percentage defense, so the fact that they have been able to
overcome the shortcomings and win enough games to earn a five seed is
impressive. Arizona won both meetings with UCLA during the regular season.
As mentioned, top-seeded California will battle either Washington State or
Oregon in the quarterfinals, and the Golden Bears hope that they can claim
their first Pac-10 Tournament championship. Cal is the top free-throw shooting
team in the league and leads the conference in field goal percentage as well.
The Golden Bears are scoring 77.4 ppg while allowing 67.7 ppg to foes, and
they own the second-best scoring margin in the Pac-10. There is a wealth of
talent in the starting lineup, and four Cal players rank in the top-20 in the
league in scoring. Jerome Randle is fourth with 18.7 ppg, and fellow guard
Patrick Christopher is seventh with 16.0 ppg. Theo Robertson brings 13.8 ppg
to the mix, and Jamal Boykin contributes 11.7 ppg and 6.7 rpg. All four
players are seniors, providing Cal with plenty of experience.
The third-seeded Washington Huskies and sixth-seeded Oregon State Beavers will
square off on Thursday, and while OSU has never won this tournament, the
Huskies finished on top in 2005 and have split their 20 games in this event.
Washington possesses two of the Pac-10's top five scorers, as Quincy Pondexter
sits second with 20.2 ppg and Isaiah Thomas checks in with 17.2 ppg, good for
fifth place. Pondexter is third in the league with 7.8 rpg, and the fact that
he is shooting 54.3 percent from the floor despite constant attention from
defenders is impressive. The Huskies lead the league in scoring offense (80.5
ppg) and scoring margin (+10.0 ppg), and they are also tops in rebounding
margin (+4.6 rpg). As for Oregon State, it ranks ninth in the league in
scoring offense (60.0 ppg) and ninth in scoring margin (-1.2 ppg). The Beavers
shoot just 28.5 percent from three-point range, but the fact that they lead
the Pac-10 in steals has certainly helped their cause. Calvin Haynes leads OSU
with 12.7 ppg. Washington beat Oregon State by 12 points in the regular-season
finale, and by six points earlier in the campaign.
The final quarterfinal pairing features the second-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils and the seventh-seeded Stanford Cardinal. Stanford's lone title was
earned in 2004, and the team is 11-11 in this tournament. As for the Sun
Devils, they own a 5-11 mark in this event and have never earned the league's
automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. ASU is paced by Ty Abbott (12.0 ppg) and
Rihards Kuksiks (11.7 ppg), and Eric Boateng, who leads the conference in
field goal percentage (.653), is sixth in rebounding (7.0 rpg). The Sun Devils
are second in the league in scoring defense (58.1 ppg) and are the best three-
point shooting team (.371). Stanford always has a chance to win regardless of
the opposition because of the presence of Landry Fields, the top scorer in the
conference at 22.2 ppg. Fields is also second in rebounding with 8.7 rpg, and
with Jeremy Green (16.9 ppg) in the fold, the Cardinal may possess the top duo
in the Pac-10. Unfortunately, Stanford ranks last in the league in field goal
percentage defense. The Sun Devils beat the Cardinal in both head-to-head
meetings during the regular season.
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Calgary Flames and Detroit Red Wings will both be
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In addition to winning two straig
BILLS (+10) at Steelers SPORTSBOOK LINES
It's impossible to gauge how a team will react after something like the Steve Everett situation, and it probably doesn't matter. That being said, the Bills are going to lose several games this year where they keep things close but fall short in the end to superior teams. Ben Roethlisberger and company could have a field day against Buffalo's decimated defense, but I like the Bills to cover.
BENGALS (-7) at Browns SPORTSBOOK LINES
All you can ask out of your NFL team is that it has a plan. You may not always agree with it as a fan, but as long as it appears the organization is going in some sort of direction, you have to go with it. Which brings us to the Cleveland Browns. You flip a coin to determine whether Chuck Frye or Derek Anderson should start the preseason opener. You start Frye in Week 1, but pull him in the first half. And then you deal him to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick? Hmm... the Bengals could get six turnovers again this week.
COLTS (-7) at Titans SPORTSBOOK LINES
Tennessee signed ex-Colts cornerback Nick Harper in the offseason so that should help slow down Peyton Manning. Just ask Jason David and the Saints. Oh wait... One of these weeks, I'm going to learn to not pick against Tennessee, which has won seven of its last eight games. But it's not happening against Indy.
TEXANS (+6.5) at Panthers SPORTSBOOK LINES
Houston's Mario Williams, the first pick in the '06 draft, has more touchdowns than Reggie Bush after one week. Somehow I don't see that lasting. Meanwhile, Carolina bottled up what was expected to be a pretty high-octane offense in St. Louis in Week 1. Could this be the Panthers' defense everyone expected last year? Maybe. This feels like a 20-16 Carolina win.
RAMS (-3) vs. 49ers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Absolutely love this game. Everyone's favorite pick for this year's surprise team -- the 49ers -- laid an egg on Monday night (not that anyone was watching with the game ending in the middle of the night for those of us on the East Coast). St. Louis wasn't much better, delivering a lackluster effort against the Panthers that included two Steven Jackson fumbles and panic from his fantasy owners. Jackson rebounds this week, and the Rams get their first win.
PACKERS (+1.5) at Giants SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Do you really trust this guy to win an NFL game if Eli Manning can't go? I say no. I'd feel alot better about this Packers team if it had any semblance of a running game, but I still think Green Bay's defense is good enough to give it a 2-0 start.
JAGUARS (-10) vs. Falcons SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Does it scare me to pick Jacksonville to cover a double-digit spread after it scored just 10 points last week against the Titans? Absolutely. But can I bring myself to pick Atlanta under any circumstances? No. Check out this poll on ajc.com. It asks what Atlanta's most urgent deficiency is: offense, defense, specials teams or all of the above. "All of the above" has 57 percent of the votes. Ouch.
SAINTS (-3) at Buccaneers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
I'm picking way too many road teams this week. Oh well. New Orleans has had some time to reflect on its lackluster showing in the opener, and the Buccanneers just aren't a very good football team. Anyone else surprised Tampa Bay hasn't made a move to sign Byron Leftwich? I thought that's what they do.
VIKINGS (+3) at Lions SPORTS BETTING LINES
Run the ball and stop the run. Minnesota can do both, and that will keep them in a lot of games this season. Even though it was only one week, Adrian Peterson looks like he was a steal at No. 7 in last year's draft. Not only will he produce, but Peterson delivers excitement to what otherwise would be one of the league's most boring teams.
DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Cowboys SPORTS BETTING LINES
Lost in the Tony Romo lovefest is just how bad the Cowboys' defense was last week. I know they're banged up, but Dallas' 'D' allowed 438 yards to the Giants' offense, and backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Cam Cameron's decision to split carries between Ronnie Brown and Jesse Chatman sounds about as can't-miss as Larry David's plan to show up to Marty Funkhouser's party a night late. Still, gotta go with Miami to cover at home.
SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Cardinals SPORTS BETTING LINES
I'm probably missing something, but this game seems too easy. Arizona blew Monday night's game against the 49ers in typical Cardinals fashion, and the Seahawks beat Tampa Bay by two touchdowns. Love Seattle in this one.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders SPORTS BETTING LINES
Special teams was a major story line in Week 1. Take a look at the Broncos. They had to rush on to the field to get a Jason Elam field goal as time expired against the Bills. Denver drove into Buffalo territory on eight of 10 drives but came away with just a pair of field goals and a touchdown. Look for more scoring from the Broncos this week against an Oakland defense that gave up 36 points to Detroit in Week 1.
BEARS (-12) vs. Chiefs SPORTS BETTING LINES
Everyone talks about Rex Grossman when dissecting the Bears' offense, but Chicago's quarterback got no help in last week's loss to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Kansas City confirmed what we all thought while watching Hard Knocks: The Chiefs are going to stink this year. It could be a rough first month for Larry Johnson fantasy owners. Kansas City's RB was limited to 43 yards on 10 carries in Week 1, and the Chiefs face the Bears, Vikings and Chargers the next three weeks, all formidable run defenses.
RAVENS (-10) vs. Jets SPORTS BETTING LINES
A big dose of Willis McGahee and a usual sound defensive effort will give the Ravens their first win. According to Football Outsiders, no team in the NFL rushed only three defenders on pass plays last year more than the Jets. And according to my special Jets correspondent Ben Stauber, New York did the same in Week 1. Whoever starts at quarterback for the Ravens should have all day to throw.
PATRIOTS (-3) vs. Chargers
Friends and I were discussing how Bill Belichick goes about paying his $500,000 fine for cheating. Does he just write one check to the NFL? Do you need some sort of clearance to make such a monstrous financial transaction? I guess I shouldn't complain about the security deposit I have to put down on my new apartment. Anyway, two of the league's best teams square off in what should be a good one Sunday night. The Patriots always respond well just when you think they're in trouble. And their offensive attack was the story in Week 1.
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting.
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