Skiles and Brooks named top coaches for February
Basketball Betting Lines
03/01/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Scott Skiles of the Milwaukee Bucks and
Scott Brooks from the Oklahoma City Thunder were selected as the NBA's top
coaches for the month of February.
Skiles led Milwaukee to a 10-4 record in the year's second month, with the 10
wins tops in the entire Eastern Conference. Included in the run of success
were six straight victories from February 19-27, as well as seven road
wins -- six of those in a row from February 5-27.
Brooks led the ex-Sonics to the best winning percentage in the league (.818)
with a 9-2 mark, OKC's third consecutive winning month this season. The
Thunder opened the month with seven wins in a row to extend a nine-game win
streak while also winning five of six road contests.
Other nominees for the award were Cleveland's Mike Brown, Orlando's Stan Van
Gundy, Dallas' Rick Carlisle, Phoenix's Alvin Gentry and Utah's Jerry Sloan.
<< Jerebko, Collison named NBA rookies of the month
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Detroit Pistons forward Jonas Jerebko and New
Orleans Hornets guard Darren Collison were selected as the NBA's top rookies
for the month of February.
Jerebko captured the Eastern Conference award -- sna
<< Second straight win gets Miyazato to third
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ai Miyazato's second consecutive win on
the LPGA Tour moved her up to third in this week's Women's World Golf
Rankings.
Miyazato got to fourth with her win at the Honda PTT LPGA Thailand two
<< Opening poll starts where previous left off
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first NTRA Thoroughbred Poll of 2010
has a very similar look to the last of 2009.
The final poll of last year came out after the Breeders' Cup at Santa Anita
Park. Finishing in first-place was
<< Bucks' Redd to undergo surgery Tuesday to repair torn ACL
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Milwaukee Bucks guard Michael Redd will
undergo surgery Tuesday to repair the torn ACL in his left knee.
Redd, who suffered the injury for the second time in two years in January,
will begin rehabi
<< On College Basketball: Moving week for NCAA bids
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - During what is the final week of regular
season play for most of the 2010 NCAA Tournament at-large candidates, this
week's matchups are going to keep the lines moving for dance cards. Some teams
are going no
Richmond adds Trott and Coleman to coaching staff >>
Richmond, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - University of Richmond football coach
Latrell Scott announced the additions of Bob Trott and Roy Coleman to the
coaching staff.
Trott will serve as the defensive coordinator, while Coleman w
Patrick has much more to learn in NASCAR before her return >>
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Danica-mania in NASCAR is over...for the time
being, anyway.
The Nationwide Series received more attention than ever during the month of
February due to the hype surrounding Danica Patrick's foray into stock
Timberwolves waive C Blount >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Timberwolves waived center
Mark Blount on Monday.
The T'wolves received Blount in a trade with the Miami Heat for Quentin
Richardson last August, but he has not appeared in a game
Wozniak reaches second round in Mexico >>
Monterrey, Mexico (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Seventh-seeded Aleksandra Wozniak was a
first-round winner Monday at the $220,000 Monterrey Open tennis event.
The Canadian Wozniak was tied with Laura Granville at 3-3 in the first set on
Day 1 when the
Spurs part ways with Finley >>
San Antonio, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Antonio Spurs announced on Monday
they have released veteran guard Michael Finley.
Finley requested to be waived since his playing time waned upon his return
from a sprained ankle in late Ja
NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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